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Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?

cytisinicline for smoking cessation

Ends Jul 1, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Jul 1, 20263.9K VOL.
  • Before Oct 1, 20265.4K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
  • Before Jan 1, 202796.3 VOL.
    Yes 11%No 89%
    11¢
  • Before Jul 1, 2027830 VOL.
    Yes 38%No 62%
    38¢

Rules Summary

If the FDA approves cytisinicline for smoking cessation for marketing before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 14, 2026, 2:00 AM
Closes
Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXFDAAPPROVE · Event KXFDAAPPROVE-CYT · Market KXFDAAPPROVE-CYT-26JUL01