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KalshiPolitics

Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

Before 2028

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before 2028210 VOL.
    Yes 66%No 34%
    66¢

Rules Summary

If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit affirms in its entirety the district court's May 2, 2025 final judgment holding Executive Order 14230 unconstitutional and permanently enjoining it in Perkins Coie LLP v. U.S. Department of Justice, No. 25-5241 (D.C. Cir.) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXLAWFIRMEO · Event KXLAWFIRMEO-PERKINS28 · Market KXLAWFIRMEO-PERKINS28