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Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time
Outcome
  • Before Jan 1, 203320%Yes 20¢No 80¢
$2.2K vol

Rules Summary

If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Series KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE · Event KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33 · Market KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01

OpenedJun 9, 2026, 5:00 PM
ClosesJan 1, 2033, 4:59 AM
Pays out0.5 hours after close

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