KalshiPolitics
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law
Ends Jan 1, 2033
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jan 1, 20332.2K VOL.Yes 19%No 81%19¢
Rules Summary
If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 9, 2026, 5:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2033, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE · Event KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33 · Market KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01