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Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law

Ends Jan 1, 2033

Bet Now
  • Before Jan 1, 20332.2K VOL.
    Yes 18%No 82%
    18¢

Rules Summary

If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 5:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2033, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE · Event KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33 · Market KXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01