KalshiPolitics
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
Bougainville independence
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jan 1, 20275.8K VOL.Yes 17%No 83%17¢
- Before Jan 1, 20289.4K VOL.Yes 54%No 46%54¢
Rules Summary
If Papua New Guinea has agreed to or announced the ratification of Bougainville's independence before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jan 27, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXBOUGAINVILLEIND · Event KXBOUGAINVILLEIND · Market KXBOUGAINVILLEIND-27JAN01