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KalshiPolitics

Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Ends Sep 1, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before Sep 1, 20262.4K VOL.
  • Before Jan 1, 2027174.9 VOL.

Rules Summary

If the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announces a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 3:20 PM
Closes
Sep 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXRESTOREDEFERRAL · Event KXRESTOREDEFERRAL-26JUL · Market KXRESTOREDEFERRAL-26JUL-26SEP01