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KalshiClimate and Weather

Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

a supervolcano

Ends Jan 1, 2050

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Jan 1, 205034.8K VOL.
    Yes 22%No 78%
    22¢

Rules Summary

If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 18, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2050, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXERUPTSUPER · Event KXERUPTSUPER-0 · Market KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01