KalshiClimate and Weather
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
In 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before 202783.6K VOL.Yes 7%No 93%7¢
Rules Summary
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 13, 2026, 5:30 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXHURPATHHAWAII · Event KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC · Market KXHURPATHHAWAII-26DEC