KalshiClimate and Weather

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

In 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Hottest335.5K VOL.
Yes 80%No 20%
80¢

Rules Summary

If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Nov 9, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out: 1 hour after close

Series KXGTEMP · Event KXGTEMP-26 · Market KXGTEMP-26-P0