KalshiElections

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

Before Jan 2027

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Marjorie Taylor Greene49.3K VOL.
Yes 23%No 77%
23¢
Henry Cuellar8.8K VOL.
Yes 8%No 92%
8¢
Thomas Massie12.8K VOL.
Yes 9%No 91%
9¢
John Fetterman52.2K VOL.
Yes 29%No 71%
29¢
Lisa Murkowski29.1K VOL.
Yes 8%No 93%
8¢

Rules Summary

If Marjorie Taylor Greene leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXMTGSWITCH · Event KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN · Market KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN