KalshiElections

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

Before Aug 26, 2029

Ends Aug 26, 2029

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Friedrich Merz0 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Alice Weidel485 VOL.
Yes 20%No 80%
20¢
Lars Klingbeil0 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Baerbel Bas0 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Felix Banaszak0 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢

Rules Summary

If Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:00 PM
Closes: Aug 26, 2029, 2:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXNEXTGERCHANC · Event KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25 · Market KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-FMER