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KalshiElections

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Likud270.1 VOL.
    Yes 40%No 60%
    40¢
  • Yashar989 VOL.
    Yes 94%No 6%
    94¢
  • Together1.4K VOL.
    Yes 62%No 38%
    62¢
  • The Democrats140.5 VOL.
    Yes 52%No 48%
    52¢
  • Yisrael Beiteinu169.4 VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢

Rules Summary

If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 8:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXISRAELGOVT · Event KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01 · Market KXISRAELGOVT-28JAN01-LIK