Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet Now18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Trilateral revised deal206 VOL.——
- Formal 16-year extension2.6K VOL.——
- U.S.–Mexico interim agreement201 VOL.——
- U.S.–Canada interim agreement200 VOL.——
- Formal USMCA amendment936 VOL.——
Rules Summary
If the United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, as an outcome of the 2026 USMCA review negotiations, an agreement in principle establishing at least one material new or revised commitment concerning the operation, implementation, or revision of USMCA while preserving it as a trilateral agreement, where the agreement is not limited to withdrawing, suspending, or avoiding unilateral tariffs or retaliatory measures after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026, 4:30 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXUSMCAOUTCOMES · Event KXUSMCAOUTCOMES-27 · Market KXUSMCAOUTCOMES-27-TRI