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KalshiPolitics

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

G7 Leaders

Ends Jan 1, 2045

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Mark Carney601 VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • Emmanuel Macron1.9K VOL.
    Yes 67%No 33%
    67¢
  • Donald Trump3.6K VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢
  • Giorgia Meloni844 VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • Friedrich Merz6.4K VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢

Rules Summary

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:30 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXG7LEADEROUT · Event KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20 · Market KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-MCAR