KalshiPolitics

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

G7 Leaders

Ends Jan 1, 2045

Probability

Mark Carney601 VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢
Emmanuel Macron1.8K VOL.
Yes 73%No 27%
73¢
Donald Trump3.1K VOL.
Yes 13%No 87%
13¢
Giorgia Meloni844 VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢
Friedrich Merz4.9K VOL.
Yes 7%No 93%
7¢

Rules Summary

If the individual holding the title of Prime Minister of Canada at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:30 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2045, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXG7LEADEROUT · Event KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20 · Market KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-MCAR