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KalshiPolitics

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Forward Guidance Removed3.3K VOL.
  • Dot Plot Omitted11.9K VOL.
  • Presser Skipped14.7K VOL.
  • Reserve President Removed6.6 VOL.
  • Reserve President Rejected6.7K VOL.

Rules Summary

If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains no forward-looking guidance regarding the likely future path of the federal funds rate after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jun 18, 2026, 5:36 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXFEDREFORM · Event KXFEDREFORM-27 · Market KXFEDREFORM-27-FGUI