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KalshiEconomics

Which central banks will hike before 2027?

Before 2027

Ends Jul 8, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • US Federal Reserve40.9K VOL.
    Yes 74%No 26%
    74¢
  • Bank of England10.2K VOL.
    Yes 75%No 25%
    75¢
  • Bank of Canada7.6K VOL.
    Yes 35%No 65%
    35¢
  • Reserve Bank of Australia1.9K VOL.
    Yes 65%No 35%
    65¢
  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand5.3K VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢

Rules Summary

If the Federal Reserve raising the target range for the federal funds rate is confirmed by the relevant Source Agency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 15, 2026, 9:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXCBRATEHIKE · Event KXCBRATEHIKE-27 · Market KXCBRATEHIKE-27-FED