KalshiElections
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
In 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Proposition 1138 VOL.Yes 75%No 25%75¢
- Proposition 24 VOL.Yes 4%No 96%4¢
- Proposition 3214 VOL.Yes 73%No 27%73¢
- Proposition 44 VOL.Yes 4%No 96%4¢
- Proposition 5524 VOL.Yes 57%No 43%57¢
Rules Summary
If Proposition 1 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 2, 2026, 3:20 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXCABALLOTMEASURES · Event KXCABALLOTMEASURES-26NOV03 · Market KXCABALLOTMEASURES-26NOV03-PR01