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KalshiScience and Technology

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Grok 5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before July28.4K VOL.
  • Before September770.7 VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
  • Before October26K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
  • Before 202711.7K VOL.
    Yes 71%No 29%
    71¢

Rules Summary

If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jan 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGROK · Event KXGROK-GROK5 · Market KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01