Bitcoin.com
KalshiClimate and Weather

When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?

In 2026

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Sep 1, 20261.1K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • Before Oct 1, 20261.7K VOL.
    Yes 10%No 90%
    10¢
  • Before Nov 1, 2026720.9 VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢
  • Before Dec 1, 2026574 VOL.
    Yes 15%No 85%
    15¢

Rules Summary

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Sep 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXNEXTCAT5HURDATE · Event KXNEXTCAT5HURDATE-26DEC01 · Market KXNEXTCAT5HURDATE-26DEC01-26SEP01