KalshiScience and Technology
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Quantum computer
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Before 202716.3K VOL.——
- Before 203013.8K VOL.——
- Before 20357.3K VOL.——
- Before 20402.1K VOL.——
Rules Summary
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 14, 2025, 8:45 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXQUANTUM · Event KXQUANTUM · Market KXQUANTUM-27