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KalshiPolitics

When will the debt limit be increased?

legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt

Ends Nov 1, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Nov 1, 20264 VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
  • Before Jan 1, 20272.3K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Before Mar 1, 2027340.7 VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢
  • Before Jul 1, 20270 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
  • Before Oct 1, 20271.5 VOL.
    Yes 65%No 35%
    65¢

Rules Summary

If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:00 PM
Closes
Nov 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE · Event KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL · Market KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL-26NOV01