KalshiScience and Technology
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
GPT-6
Ends Jul 1, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Before Jul 1, 202615.6K VOL.——
- Before Aug 1, 202635.5K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Before Sep 1, 2026156.9K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Before Oct 1, 2026272.6K VOL.Yes 99%No 1%99¢
- Before Nov 1, 2026122.2K VOL.Yes 99%No 1%99¢
Rules Summary
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 22, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXGPT · Event KXGPT-OPEN · Market KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01