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KalshiElections

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

2028 President of the United States race

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Jan 1, 20271.9K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
  • Before Apr 1, 2027321.6 VOL.
    Yes 47%No 53%
    47¢
  • Before Jul 1, 20271.3K VOL.
    Yes 74%No 26%
    74¢
  • Before Oct 1, 202715.5 VOL.
    Yes 72%No 28%
    72¢

Rules Summary

If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXVANCERUN · Event KXVANCERUN-28 · Market KXVANCERUN-28-27JAN01