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KalshiScience and Technology

When will Google release Gemini 4?

Gemini 4

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Before Sep 16, 2026591.1 VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • Before Oct 1, 202616.3K VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
    9¢
  • Before Nov 1, 20262.6K VOL.
    Yes 66%No 34%
    66¢
  • Before Nov 15, 2026867 VOL.
    Yes 65%No 35%
    65¢
  • Before Dec 1, 20263.7K VOL.
    Yes 73%No 27%
    73¢

Rules Summary

If Google releases Gemini 4 before Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:48 PM
Closes
Sep 16, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGEMINI · Event KXGEMINI-GEM4 · Market KXGEMINI-GEM4-26SEP16