KalshiCompanies

When will any company achieve AGI?

Corporate announcement

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Before Jul 1, 202615.4K VOL.
—
—
Before Oct 1, 202627.1K VOL.
Yes 7%No 93%
7¢
Before Jan 1, 202720K VOL.
Yes 23%No 77%
23¢
Before Apr 1, 202710.2K VOL.
Yes 48%No 52%
48¢
Before Jul 1, 202715.6K VOL.
Yes 55%No 45%
55¢

Rules Summary

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jul 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXAGICO · Event KXAGICO-COMP · Market KXAGICO-COMP-26Q2