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When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Opus 6

Ends Sep 1, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Before Sep 1, 202613.3K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
  • Before Sep 16, 20267.5K VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
  • Before Oct 1, 20262.7K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
  • Before Oct 16, 202611.6K VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
  • Before Nov 1, 202615.4K VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%

Rules Summary

If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 11:45 PM
Closes
Sep 1, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXCLAUDE · Event KXCLAUDE-OPUS6 · Market KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26SEP01