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What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • 10% or above28.4 VOL.
    Yes 82%No 18%
    82¢
  • 20% or above729.1 VOL.
    Yes 41%No 59%
    41¢
  • 30% or above2.4K VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢

Rules Summary

If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXTARIFFRATECAN · Event KXTARIFFRATECAN-27JAN01 · Market KXTARIFFRATECAN-27JAN01-5