KalshiPolitics
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Jan 1, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- 10% or above2.2 VOL.Yes 78%No 22%78¢
- 20% or above0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- 30% or above22.5 VOL.Yes 21%No 79%21¢
- 40% or above0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- 50% or above0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
Rules Summary
If the general import tariff rate on imports from Brazil into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXTARIFFRATEBR · Event KXTARIFFRATEBR-27JAN01 · Market KXTARIFFRATEBR-27JAN01-5

