KalshiClimate and Weather
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
MJJ 2026 through MAM 2027
Ends Aug 15, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Below 1.5°C1.1K VOL.——
- 1.5°C to 1.9°C4.1K VOL.——
- 2.0°C to 2.4°C8.4K VOL.——
- 2.5°C to 2.9°C10.8K VOL.——
- At least 3.0°C20.5K VOL.——
Rules Summary
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is below 1.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 24, 2026, 11:00 PM
- Closes
- Aug 15, 2027, 2:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXRONI · Event KXRONI-27AUG · Market KXRONI-27AUG-T15