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KalshiElections

Virginia's 7th District margin of victory

Virginia's 7th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 5+ pts532.4 VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Democrats, 8+ pts205 VOL.
    Yes 74%No 26%
    74¢
  • Democrats, 11+ pts205 VOL.
    Yes 56%No 44%
    56¢
  • Democrats, 14+ pts614 VOL.
    Yes 49%No 51%
    49¢
  • Democrats, 17+ pts10 VOL.
    Yes 29%No 71%
    29¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 7th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-VA07D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-VA07D-P5