KalshiElections
Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Virginia's 1st District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 1+ pts303.8 VOL.Yes 42%No 58%42¢
- Democrats, 4+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 7+ pts200 VOL.Yes 15%No 85%15¢
- Democrats, 10+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 13+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-VA01D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-VA01D-P1

