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KalshiElections

Virginia's 11th District margin of victory

Virginia's 11th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 11+ pts100 VOL.
    Yes 93%No 7%
    93¢
  • Democrats, 14+ pts708 VOL.
    Yes 96%No 4%
    96¢
  • Democrats, 17+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 97%No 3%
    97¢
  • Democrats, 20+ pts1.1K VOL.
    Yes 96%No 4%
    96¢
  • Democrats, 23+ pts1.6K VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 11th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:26 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-VA11D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-VA11D-P11