KalshiEconomics

US semiconductor production growth in 2026?

In 2026

Ends Jan 17, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 8%1.1K VOL.
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Above 10%225.9 VOL.
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Above 12%191.9 VOL.
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Above 14%168.7 VOL.
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Above 16%109.8 VOL.
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Rules Summary

If the percent change in U.S. industrial production for “Semiconductors and related electronic components” in 2026 is above 8, as reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in the G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization release, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Closes: Jan 17, 2027, 2:10 PM
Pays out: 1 hour after close

Series KXSEMIPRODH · Event KXSEMIPRODH-26 · Market KXSEMIPRODH-26-8