KalshiEconomics

US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?

In Q4 2026

Ends Jan 28, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 0.0%138 VOL.
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Above 0.5%375 VOL.
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Above 1.0%1K VOL.
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Above 1.5%1.6K VOL.
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Above 2.0%2.2K VOL.
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Rules Summary

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 5:00 PM
Closes: Jan 28, 2027, 1:29 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXGDP · Event KXGDP-27JAN28 · Market KXGDP-27JAN28-T0.0