KalshiEconomics

US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026

Q3 2026

Ends Oct 29, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Above 3%0 VOL.
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Above 4%0 VOL.
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Above 5%2 VOL.
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Above 6%8.3 VOL.
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Above 7%1.4K VOL.
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Rules Summary

If the the US effective tariff rate (customs duties collected ÷ nominal imports of goods, represented by B235RC1Q027SBEA ÷ A255RC1Q027SBEA) for Q3 2026 is above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 8:45 PM
Closes: Oct 29, 2026, 12:29 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXEFFTARIFF · Event KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29 · Market KXEFFTARIFF-26OCT29-T3