KalshiEconomics
US defaults before 2028?
Before 2028
Ends Jan 1, 2028
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Defaults2.3K VOL.Yes 6%No 94%6¢
Rules Summary
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 1 hour after close
Series KXDEFAULT · Event KXDEFAULT-27DEC31 · Market KXDEFAULT-27DEC31