KalshiEconomics

Unemployment in August

In Aug 2026

Ends Sep 4, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 3.7%469.5 VOL.
Yes 97%No 3%
97¢
Above 3.8%5.5K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 3.9%37.8K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 4.0%104.4K VOL.
Yes 86%No 14%
86¢
Above 4.1%49.9K VOL.
Yes 48%No 52%
48¢

Rules Summary

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 5:40 PM
Closes: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXU3 · Event KXU3-26AUG · Market KXU3-26AUG-T3.7