KalshiEconomics
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
2026
Ends Feb 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- in 202612.5K VOL.Yes 14%No 86%14¢
Rules Summary
If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Mar 4, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Closes
- Feb 1, 2027, 1:29 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXIRANIMPORTS · Event KXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01 · Market KXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01-T5000000