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KalshiEconomics

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

FY2026

Ends Oct 20, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Below 5%75.1K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%

Rules Summary

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 8:00 PM
Closes
Oct 20, 2026, 12:29 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXDEFGDP · Event KXDEFGDP-26OCT20 · Market KXDEFGDP-26OCT20-T5