KalshiFinancials
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
By Dec 31, 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Above .7%731.3 VOL.Yes 38%No 62%38¢
- Above .8%92.7 VOL.Yes 26%No 74%26¢
- Above .9%387.5 VOL.Yes 3%No 97%3¢
- Above 1.00%2.7K VOL.Yes 20%No 80%20¢
Rules Summary
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 8, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Dec 31, 2026, 9:59 PM
- Pays out
- 1 hour after close
Series KX10Y2Y · Event KX10Y2Y-26DEC31 · Market KX10Y2Y-26DEC31-T.7