KalshiElections
Texas Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Ken Paxton, 1+ pts20.9K VOL.——
- Ken Paxton, 3+ pts77.9K VOL.——
- Ken Paxton, 5+ pts28.1K VOL.——
- Ken Paxton, 7+ pts20.2K VOL.——
- Ken Paxton, 9+ pts4.6K VOL.——
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 28, 2026, 1:03 AM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSENR-P1