KalshiElections
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Before Jan 2027
Ends Jan 3, 2028
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Talarico defeats Paxton102.3K VOL.Yes 50%No 50%50¢
- Paxton defeats Talarico164.4K VOL.Yes 53%No 47%53¢
Rules Summary
If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Mar 20, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Jan 3, 2028, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXTXSENOUTCOME · Event KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN · Market KXTXSENOUTCOME-27JAN-TALPAX