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KalshiElections

Texas Governor margin of victory

Texas Governor

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 3+ pts2.1K VOL.
    Yes 70%No 30%
    70¢
  • Republicans, 6+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts2.1K VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢
  • Republicans, 15+ pts200 VOL.
    Yes 15%No 85%
    15¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-TXGOVR-P3