KalshiElections
Tennessee Governor margin of victory
Tennessee Governor
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 9+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 12+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts368 VOL.Yes 73%No 27%73¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Tennessee by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-TNGOVR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-TNGOVR-P9

