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KalshiEconomics

State of the economy at the end of 2026

In Dec 2026

Ends Jan 13, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Stagflation27.4K VOL.
  • Soft landing21.5K VOL.
  • Overheating28.8K VOL.
  • Slack / disinflation4K VOL.

Rules Summary

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 13, 2027, 1:25 PM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXECONPATH · Event KXECONPATH-26 · Market KXECONPATH-26-STAG