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KalshiClimate and Weather

Sep 2026 temperature increase?

In Sep 2026

Ends Oct 16, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • 1.02999 or below240.6 VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • 1.04 to 1.09102.6 VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢
  • 1.10 to 1.1674.6 VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • 1.17 to 1.2333.1 VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢
  • 1.24 to 1.301K VOL.
    Yes 25%No 75%
    25¢

Rules Summary

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Sep 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Oct 16, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXHMONTHRANGE · Event KXHMONTHRANGE-26SEP · Market KXHMONTHRANGE-26SEP-T1.03