KalshiEconomics

Recession this year?

In 2026

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Starts3.4M VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢

Rules Summary

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 14, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes: Jan 31, 2027, 1:25 PM
Pays out: 1 hour after close

Series KXRECSSNBER · Event KXRECSSNBER-26 · Market KXRECSSNBER-26