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KalshiElections

Pennsylvania's 7th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 7th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts43.7 VOL.
    Yes 64%No 36%
    64¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts708.4 VOL.
    Yes 42%No 58%
    42¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts300 VOL.
    Yes 36%No 64%
    36¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts800 VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts300 VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 7th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-PA07D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-PA07D-P3