Bitcoin.com
KalshiElections

Pennsylvania's 1st District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 2+ pts580.7 VOL.
    Yes 43%No 57%
    43¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts777 VOL.
    Yes 33%No 67%
    33¢
  • Republicans, 8+ pts387 VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts877 VOL.
    Yes 14%No 86%
    14¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts406 VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-PA01R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-PA01R-P2