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KalshiElections

Pennsylvania's 17th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania's 17th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts1.6K VOL.
    Yes 88%No 12%
    88¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts718 VOL.
    Yes 85%No 15%
    85¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts295 VOL.
    Yes 57%No 43%
    57¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts214 VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 17th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-PA17D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-PA17D-P3