KalshiPolitics

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

8/24 - 8/30

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 52.2K VOL.
Yes 93%No 7%
93¢
Above 107.7K VOL.
Yes 15%No 85%
15¢
Above 157.8K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢
Above 202.9K VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢
Above 25306.8 VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢

Rules Summary

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:00 PM
Closes: Sep 1, 2026, 1:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXHORMUZPEAK · Event KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG30 · Market KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG30-T5